Tropical wave could develop

A tropical wave that showed signs of development in the tropical Atlantic on Monday morning could eventually develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm.

Fred Sambula

National Meteorological Service Senior Manager Fred Sambula.

The tropical wave, known only as 99L, was about 950 miles east of the southern Windward Islands on Monday morning. The National Hurricane Center in Miami stated in its 11.30am update that the system was showing signs of organisation and that some slow development was possible over the next couple of days.

Here in Cayman, the National Meteorological Service was already monitoring the system.

Senior manager Fred Sambula acknowledged the storm had potential to develop, but said it was too soon to rush to any conclusions.

‘At this stage of the game, anything could happen,’ he said. ‘It could fizzle out, or it could maintain its present structure, or it could evolve into something different.’

Mr. Sambula said the Meteorological Service would continue to monitor the system closely.

‘We’re being cautious this time of year,’ he said. ‘We don’t want to be caught off guard.’

Mr. Sambula said the latest information available on the storm on Monday morning was that it had a possible area of low pressure with well defined low-to-mid level circulation.

At least one computer model on 99L showed the system entering the Northwest Caribbean Sea, south of Grand Cayman. Several other computer models, which did not project the path much past the 70W longitude, had the system heading in the general direction of the Northwest Caribbean Sea.

99L was located in a position similar to the starts of Hurricanes Gilbert and Ivan, both of which impacted Grand Cayman in the past.

However, Mr. Sambula said the system had ‘quite a ways to go’ before it could threaten the Cayman Islands, even if it did develop further.

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