Storm slow to develop


 A strong tropical wave, which has
been dubbed Invest 93L, is headed Grand Cayman’s way, but chances of it
developing into a tropical cyclone of significant strength before it gets here
appear slim.

After upgrading thechances of the system developing into a tropical cyclone within 48 hours
to 40 per cent on Monday evening, the National Hurricane Center in Miami
reduced that chance to 20 per cent on Tuesday afternoon, after the tropical
wave became less organised.

However, much of the computer
weather model guidance forecasts the weather system to pass close to Grand
Cayman on Thursday or Friday, bringing showers and thunderstorms at the very

The Hurricane Center noted that
environmental conditions were expected to become more conducive for slow
development of the system as it moved west-northwest at about 10 mph.

Should the wave form into Tropical
Depression 1 and then have its sustained wind speeds reach 39 miles per hour,
the system would become Tropical Storm Alex.

As of Tuesday afternoon, however,
there was not much wind to speak of associated with the tropical wave.

Cayman’s National Weather Service
forecast cloudiness with showers and thundershowers Wednesday through Friday,
with clearing on Saturday.

Most of the model guidance showed
the system eventually moving into the Gulf of Mexico and intensifying to a
hurricane, possibly a major hurricane.


More weather news 


Monday’s heavy rains are just a preview of what’s expected to come later this week.
Alan Markoff

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