Storms aswirl in Atlantic

Four active weather systems in the Atlantic basin are showing the 2007 hurricane season is far from over.

Although Tropical Storm Jerry, out at sea in the northern Atlantic, was downgraded to Tropical Depression Jerry on Monday, three other active weather systems could eventually pose a threat to land.

One of those systems, an area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave near the Windward Islands, could impact the Cayman Islands late this week or early next week.

Most of the computer models associated with that system, designated Invest 97L, have it crossing or going north of Hispaniola. However, at least three of the computer models have it coming in the general vicinity of Jamaica and then the Cayman Islands.

An area of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico is also causing concern. This system, designated 94L, formed in the western Caribbean last week and traversed the Yucatan peninsula over the weekend. The system showed signs of organising on Monday and was expected to drift erratically through Wednesday.

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Another large weather system, located about 730 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, continued to show signs of development on Monday. This system, called Invest 96L, is expected to curve north into the Atlantic Ocean or at least travel north of the Lesser Antilles.

The Atlantic basin hurricane season reached its historic peak on 10 September. However, the six weeks after that date have historically been more active than the six weeks before that date.

Because of its higher sea surface temperatures, the Western Caribbean remains an active breeding ground for tropical cyclones through October and even into November.

The Atlantic basin hurricane season officially ends 30 November.