The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, is monitoring three areas of disturbances, each of which pose varying chances of development during the next five days.
In a forecast released on Monday, 23 May, the NHC highlighted two areas of disturbances in the Pacific Ocean several hundred miles off the coast of Mexico, and another system which is currently making its way across several southern states. None of the systems pose a threat to Cayman.
“An area of low pressure moved inland overnight along the north Central Gulf of Mexico coast and is now located over south-central Alabama,” said the NHC in its morning forecast. “The low is expected to continue to move over land today and tropical cyclone development is not expected.”
The NHC stated that the system had a near 0% chance of further development however flood warnings have been issued.
Eastern Pacific
Further east, and outside of the Atlantic hurricane basin, the NHC is monitoring two systems which it said are likely to strengthen further.
The first system has a 20% chance of development in the next five days.
“Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slow development while this system drifts eastward through the end of the week,” the NHC forecasted.
The second system is a broad area of low pressure in the Gulf of Tehuantepec, southern Mexico. As of Monday, 23 May, the system had not yet fully developed. However, the NHC predicted it as having a 30% chance of further development – the greatest of further development of all three areas currently being monitored.
NHC predictions expected
The NHC which is a division of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has since announced that it will release its 2022 Atlantic hurricane season predictions on Tuesday, 24 May, one week ahead of the official 1 June start of the hurricane season.
In its April forecast, Colorado State University called for an above-average hurricane season, with nine named storms and nine hurricanes, four of which are expected to strengthen to major hurricanes of Category 3, 4 or 5.
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