A tropical disturbance in the southwestern Caribbean Sea has a 70% chance of turning into a cyclone over the next two days, according to weather forecasters.
The US National Hurricane Center, in its 1pm forecast on Thursday, 16 Nov., said satellite data indicates the circulation associated with a low pressure area remains broad.
“But the system is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms mainly to the east of the centre of circulation,” it said.
It explained that environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the next few days.
The disturbance is moving northeast toward Jamaica, Haiti and eastern Cuba – just skimming the Cayman Islands with its western edge.
An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is en route to investigate the system, the NHC said.
Meanwhile, the Cayman Islands National Weather Service on Thursday said it is monitoring the developments of the tropical disturbance.
It said that based on the latest forecast information, the system is projected to drift northeast, moving farther away from the Cayman area over the next few days.
“Regardless of development of the system, the expected impacts on the Cayman Islands are forecasted to be limited to isolated showers with some thunderstorms,” it added.
Potential rainfall accumulation of about 10-15mm is expected for Grand Cayman and 20-30mm for the Sister Islands during Thursday and Friday.
“We continue to monitor the developments of this system and any impacts it might have on the Cayman Islands,” the weather service said.
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