Topic: National Hurricane Center
AI improving hurricane forecasts, but human expertise remains essential
Artificial intelligence based systems analyse vast historical weather datasets to learn patterns in how the atmosphere behaves.
Tropical Storm Melissa forms in the Caribbean Sea
Forecast models still show wide variations in the expected path of Melissa
US government shutdown will not affect hurricane forecasting
The US government shutdown will impact many of that country's government services, but the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) mission-critical tropical cyclone forecasting...
Tips from Hurricane Preparedness Week
The National Hurricane Center in the United States named the week of 4-10 May 'National Hurricane Preparedness Week' with tips for each day of the week.
Work continues on Cayman Islands storm surge model by NOAA
Budget cuts at NOAA and the US National Weather Service may hinder the amount of effort they are able to put into producing the model.
With US in flux, critical hurricane surge model may be in jeopardy
The US National Hurricane Center had been working on Cayman's storm surge and hurricane wave inundation model. The status of that model is now uncertain.
November cyclone possible for western Caribbean region
The odds of a named storm forming in the western Caribbean Sea are increasing, with the US National Hurricane Center showing a 70% probability of tropical cyclone development over the next seven days.
Forecasters say tropical depression possible as system brews
Forecasters have said a tropical depression could form later this week as a broad area of low pressure looks likely to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days.
Tropical disturbance passes Cayman
A tropical disturbance, Potential Tropical Cyclone Twenty-two, is passing east of the Cayman Islands on Friday.
Tropical cyclone likely to form in 48 hours bringing thunderstorms
A tropical disturbance in the south-western Caribbean Sea has a 70% chance of turning into a cyclone over the next two days, according to weather forecasters.
Hurricane Lee now a Category 2 storm
Hurricane Lee – which poses no threat to the Cayman Islands – has dropped in intensity to a Category 2 storm after briefly peaking at Category 5 on Friday, 8 Sept., and again on Saturday.
Pressure gradient tightens across Cayman, producing showers
Forecasters say Cayman will continue to see isolated showers for the next 24 hours due to a fleeting pressure gradient that continues to tightening across the country, as Tropical Storm Harold continues to move further in land in Texas.
Three of five systems become tropical storms
Regional forecasters are monitoring Tropical Storms: Emily, Gert and Franklin which developed over the weekend; in addition to two other potential weather systems.
Forecasters monitor four potential storm systems
The Atlantic hurricane basin is a buzz with storm activity, as forecasters monitor four potential systems that are likely to strengthen in the coming days.
Forecasters monitor two systems in central Atlantic Ocean
Forecasters are keeping a weather eye on the horizon, as satellites detect two areas of disturbance in the central Atlantic Ocean which are expected to drifter further west in the coming days.
Mid-season forecast predicts more storms
As the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season nears the halfway point, forecasters have increased their predictions in response to record-warm sea surface temperatures, that they say are likely to generate more storms.
Atlantic cyclone likely to form in next 48 hours
A disturbance in the eastern Atlantic Ocean has a 90% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Weather system bringing rain, overcast skies to Cayman
National forecasters say a fleeting weather disturbance will produce overcast skies and scattered showers in Cayman for the next 24 hours.
Weather system pops up on NHC radar
Regional forecasters are monitoring a weak tropical wave a couple of hundred miles off the eastern coast of the Bahamas.
First storm of 2023 formed months ago
Though the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season is still two weeks away, forecasters say the first storm of the year has already come and gone in a rogue system that passed through in January.
Cayman strengthens storm modelling in the face of growing surge risk
The Cayman Islands has been bumped up to a priority consideration for advanced storm surge modelling which will help to predict risk across the territory.
Forecasters call for below-average hurricane season
Initial predictions for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season suggest the region will experience below-average storm activity.
Latest weather system to pass south of Cayman
Newly released storm-projection models suggest a tropical wave will pass several hundred miles south of the Cayman Islands later this week, at which time the system is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm.
Next two weeks may bring biggest storm threat
Hurricane Ian may have brushed Cayman but that does not mean the threat is over for the year.
Tropical Storm Ian forecast to hit Cayman as hurricane on Sunday
Tropical Storm Ian has formed and is currently 680 miles east-south-east of Grand Cayman, the US National Hurricane Center has said in a Friday night advisory.
Cayman warned of ‘potential severe weather’
The Cayman Islands National Weather Service continues to monitor a strong tropical wave which has entered the Caribbean Sea, along a path that could see it travel south of the Cayman Islands within the next five days.
2022 hurricane season marks least active start in 30 years
The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season marked its halfway point today, 1 Sept., with its slowest start in 40 years, despite predictions for above-average storm activity.
Third system being monitored by forecasters
After a relatively quiet couple of weeks forecasters are now keeping a close watch on three weather systems churning in the central and eastern tropical Atlantic basin.
Forecasters monitoring multiple tropical waves
After a near month-long lull in tropical storm activity in the Atlantic hurricane basin, forecasters say a string of tropical waves extending off the western coast of Africa to the central Atlantic Ocean has varying chances of intensifying within the next five days.
Forecasters eye potential tropical depression later this week
Forecasters at the US National Hurricane Center have said a system projected to develop near the Yucatan Peninsula and Southeastern Gulf of Mexico could become a tropical depression later this week.
Tropical depression expected to reach hurricane strength by weekend
Tropical depression 18 has formed in the eastern Atlantic and is projected to develop into a tropical storm by Thursday, and could be near hurricane intensity by the weekend, the US National Hurricane Center has said.
System near Cabo Verde set to become tropical depression
The weather system located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde islands is likely to form into a tropical depression in the coming days, forecasters have said.
Update: TD 9 now Tropical Storm Ida
A tropical storm warning has been issued for the Cayman Islands as Tropical Depression 9 has become better organised 210 miles southeast of Grand Cayman.
NOAA calls for more storms in 2021
The National Hurricane Center is calling for a more active season than previously forecast.
Breaking: Elsa strengthens to hurricane
Tropical storm Elsa intensified to a category one hurricane Friday morning, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Sister Islands placed under tropical storm alert as TS Elsa continues track
The Sister Islands has been placed under a tropical storm alert Thursday night based on the current track of Tropical Storm Elsa, Hazard Management Cayman Islands has said.
Update: Tropical Storm Elsa forms, heading towards Windward Islands
Tropical Storm Elsa has formed in the Atlantic basin and is set to impact the Cayman Islands later this weekend based on its current track.
Strengthening weather system could affect Sister Islands Sunday
The National Weather Service has said the Sister Islands could be impacted from Sunday and into next week by the weather system, currently named potential cyclone five east-southeast of the Windward Islands.
Update: Weather system set to become tropical depression
Forecasters have projected that in the Atlantic basin a broad area of low pressure, which is associated with a tropical wave, will become a tropical depression in the coming days.
Tropical wave drenches Grand Cayman
A tropical wave which is interacting with an upper-level system over Grand Cayman has produced thundershowers that have drenched the island in more than an inch of rainfall.
Forecasters watching new tropical wave
Forecasters are keeping watch over a new system developing east southeast of the Windward Islands.
Tropical Storm Bill forms, likely to be short-lived
Tropical storm Bill has formed far off the coast of North Carolina, making it the second named storm for the 2021 hurricane season.
Three active weather systems being monitored
Forecasters are keeping close watch over three weather systems which have the potential to develop into tropical depressions or storms over the course of this week.
Forecasters eye new weather system near Central America
Forecasters are projecting a new weather system forming near Central America and southern Mexico to develop into a tropical depression in next week.
Atlantic basin goes quiet; Pacific basin heats up
The Atlantic basin has gone quiet after a potential area of disturbance off the southern end of Central America dissipated earlier today (10 June).
What’s on the horizon for the 2021 hurricane season?
Tuesday marks the official start of the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season and across Cayman, people are bracing for what forecasters anticipate will be another above-average season.
2021 hurricane season off to early start
Subtropical storm Ana has formed in the Atlantic Ocean and is the first named storm of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane season.
Active hurricane seasons prompt early launch of tropical advisory site
Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, have released their Atlantic outlook two weeks early, on 15 May, prompted by the rapid development of storms over the past six years.
Tropical Depression 29 forms in central Caribbean Sea
Tropical depression 29 has formed over the central Caribbean Sea and is forecast to become a hurricane in a couple of days as it approaches Nicaragua and Honduras, the National Hurricane Centre has said Saturday.
Tropical wave south of Cayman expected to develop
A well-defined tropical wave located south of the Cayman Islands and Jamaica is likely to develop into a tropical depression.
Tropical wave forms near Jamaica
A tropical wave south of Jamaica could form into a depression over the weekend, as it moves into the northwestern Caribbean Sea. The system does not pose an immediate threat to the Cayman Islands but residents should monitor its progress.
Time for Greek alphabet: Subtropical Storms Alpha and Beta form
The Atlantic hurricane season ran through the year’s list of named storms on Friday and moved right into the back-up naming system using the Greek alphabet. As of late Friday morning, three tropical formations were active in the Atlantic: Hurricane Teddy, Tropical Storm Wilfred and Subtropical Storm Alpha.
Hurricane season forecast to remain active in coming weeks
The next two weeks of the Atlantic hurricane season are forecast to bring above-average activity, according to the latest report by Colorado State University’s Tropical Meteorology Project.
Tropical wave puts Cayman on alert
Cayman Islands residents should monitor the progress of an active tropical wave currently located over the central Caribbean Sea, advised Hazard Management Cayman Islands on Monday.
Tropical depression likely to form
Forecasters are keeping a close watch on two tropical waves that have emerged in the Atlantic basin.
Tropical wave expected to strengthen
A tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean is expected to strengthen in the coming days.
Depression becomes Tropical Storm Josephine
The US National Hurricane Center on Thursday upgraded Tropical Depression 11 to the Tropical Storm Josephine, making it the 10th named storm for the 2020 hurricane season.
Gonzalo dissipates; another weather system brews in Atlantic
Tropical Storm Gonzalo is no more, and another system is growing in the Atlantic Ocean.
Saharan dust layer clouds Cayman skies
Hazy conditions are the forecast for Cayman through Thursday, as a plume of Saharan dust settles over the Caribbean region. While the dust event is typical of this time of year, researchers have described the current Saharan Air Layer as the most significant in decades.
New storm system developing in Atlantic Ocean
A vigorous tropical wave located about 200 miles east of the Leeward Islands was developing and gathering strength, and the National Hurricane Center in Miami said Monday that it had a 90 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next five days.
More rain in store for Cayman
A broad area of low pressure continues to linger south of the Cayman Islands near the Caribbean coast of Costa Rica and Nicaragua. The U.S.-based National Hurricane Center advised Wednesday that the system had a 30 percent chance of tropical formation by Monday.
Update: Beryl downgraded to tropical storm
The Atlantic has its first hurricane of the season. Hurricane Beryl, currently southeast of the Lesser Antilles in the southern Caribbean, is considered a small storm, creating some uncertainty about the analysis, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.
Update: Tropical formation in Gulf likely in coming days
The official start of Atlantic hurricane season is still a week away, but the Caribbean may be gearing up for an early storm. The National Hurricane Center in Miami identified a low pressure system off the coast of northeastern Belize Wednesday that could develop into a storm over the next five days.
UPDATE: Cancellations continue as frightful weather disrupts Halloween festivities
The weather is turning out to be the scariest thing about Halloween this year. Predicted wind and rain through the weekend are giving holiday event organizers a chill.
Tropical system could affect Cayman in next few days
A broad, low-pressure weather system in the western Caribbean Sea is slowly moving northward, bringing with it widespread cloudiness and showers.
UPDATE: Cayman Islands in path of possible weather disturbance
A broad area of low pressure showed signs of formation in the Western Caribbean, south of the Cayman Islands, the National Hurricane Center reported Monday afternoon.
Irma winds down as recovery efforts ramp up
Hurricane Irma petered out and dropped off the National Hurricane Center’s advisory list Tuesday afternoon, but the cleanup from the massive storm will likely take weeks or months.
UPDATE: Tampa airport to close Monday for Irma; Cayman Airways adjusts flights
The Tampa International Airport in Florida will close Monday. Accordingly Cayman Airway's flights to and from Tampa on Monday have been cancelled.
Hurricane Irma strengthens in Atlantic; now a major hurricane
The National Hurricane Center issued an advisory Thursday about Hurricane Irma, the ninth named storm of the season, which by Thursday afternoon had a maximum sustained wind speed of 100 mph.
UPDATED: Tropical Storm Harvey forms, threatens eastern Caribbean Friday
Tropical Storm Harvey has formed about 200 miles east of the Windward Islands, according to the National Hurricane Center, packing wind speeds near 40 mph. The tropical storm is expected to enter the eastern Caribbean Sea within 24 hours.
‘We have to be ready’: Storm trackers prepare for hurricane season
Storm trackers flew into Grand Cayman on Tuesday on their public awareness tour ahead of the Caribbean’s hurricane season.
Matthew now Category 5
Forecasters say Hurricane Matthew will turn to the north and any impact on the Cayman Islands will be minimal. The U.S. National Hurricane Center upgraded Matthew to a hurricane Thursday. Forecasters with Cayman’s National Weather Service say the islands will likely see rough seas of 4 to 6 feet and winds up to 20 mph from overnight Sunday through Monday, but do not expect any major impacts.
