NOAA’s National Hurricane Center in Miami reported that Tropical Depression Six formed in the Atlantic Ocean, about 200 miles east of the Windward Islands on Friday afternoon.
An U.S. Air Force reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigating the weather disturbance found 41mph flight-level winds, which equates to about 35 mph surface winds.
Should the system’s surface winds reach 39mph Tropical Depression Six would be named Tropical Storm Felix, which could happen as early as Saturday.
TD6 was moving westward at about 16mph as of Friday afternoon.
On the current forecasted path, TD6 would pass considerably south of the Cayman Islands sometime next Tuesday. However, Grand Cayman is in the five-day cone of probability for the centre of the storm to pass.
The National Hurricane Center noted that even though wind shear is expected to remain relatively light for the next few days and that sea surface temperatures of the Caribbean Sea are favourable for intensification, the major computer models do not strengthen the system. This is possibly because the system will interact with land as it passes fairly close to South America.
Regardless, NOAA forecasts gradual strengthening of TD6 as it makes its way through the Caribbean Sea, and that it will become a minimal hurricane on Tuesday.
Follow the tropical depression progress > Click Here