HMCI DECLARES A TROPICAL STORM WATCH

Key Message:

Forecast eye path of Tropical Storm Fay

The forecast eye path of Tropical Storm Fay as at 10.35am EDT, August 16, 2008.
Image: Accuweather

The National Weather Service and Hazard Management Cayman Islands placed the Cayman Islands under a tropical storm watch at 10am this (Saturday) morning. The declaration of a Watch means that tropical storm conditions could begin affecting the Cayman Islands within 36 hours.

Tropical Storm Fay is close to the southwest tip of Haiti and is heading west. The National Hurricane Centre in Miami continues to forecast the centre of the storm to pass along the south coast of Cuba and north of the Sister Islands tomorrow.

However residents should maintain a state of readiness. Even on the current track, Tropical Storm Fay may deposit a significant amount of rainfall causing flooding of low lying areas, particularly in the Sister Islands.

This system is expected to intensify and develop into a hurricane as it crosses over Cuba, so stay tuned to the media for the latest updates from Cayman’s National Weather Service.

NHC advice to local population:

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM FAY.

Forecast for the Cayman Islands:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Fay, which at 10 a.m. was located near 19.0 N 73.7 W or 95 miles west-northwest of Port Au Prince, Haiti. Fay is moving west at 15 mph with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph.

The National Hurricane Center forecast Fay to move west-northwest passing north of Jamaica tonight and along the Cuban south coast or near 100 miles north of the Sister Islands tomorrow. Based on this path the band of tropical storm force winds are forecast to pass north of the Cayman area. However, satellite pictures show a significant amount of cloudiness and thundershowers south of the center.

The Cayman area can expect cloudy to overcast with intermittent showers and some thunder tonight and tomorrow. Weather models forecast 1.50 to 2.00 inches of rainfall accumulation from Sunday morning through Monday morning, especially the Sister Islands. This will lead to flooding of low lying areas especially over the Sister Islands tomorrow and residents should exercise caution.

Additionally the Cayman area can expect increasing winds and deteriorating marine conditions from tonight. All marine interests should seek safe harbor this evening and remain there.

Details of Weather System:

Longitude: 73.7W

Latitude: 19.0N

Proximity: 130mi E-SE of Guantanamo, Cuba

Speed of system and direction of movement: Moving W near 15mph

Maximum sustained wind speed: 45mph

Further information:

The next bulletin will be issued at 4 p.m. Saturday afternoon.

Click the green ‘Hurricane Centre’ button on the left of caycompass.com for the latest updates.

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