For the latest information on storm activity in the Cayman Islands, as well as information on how to prepare for hurricane season, visit Storm Centre.

Update: 5 Oct. 6:30am: Tropical Depression 26 has developed into Tropical Storm Delta, forecasters said Monday morning.

The system is about 90 miles south of Negril, Jamaica, and about 255 miles southeast of Grand Cayman.

Its maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph.

Cayman is currently under a tropical storm warning, which means storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. The system is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rainfall over Cayman and bring rough seas.

“Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands beginning late [Monday]. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area by Tuesday afternoon, with tropical storm conditions possible by early Tuesday. Tropical Storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba by early Tuesday,” the National Hurricane Center in Miami said its 6am advisory.

All public schools are closed Monday and Tuesday as the islands await the passage of the storm.

The Cayman Islands National Weather Service has issued a severe weather bulletin, advising that flooding in low-lying areas is to be expected from Monday evening.

Its forecast for Monday calls for partly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers this morning becoming cloudy to overcast by late afternoon with a 70% chance of widely scattered showers and thunder. Showers may become locally heavy at times from this evening.

“Winds are expected to be from the east to northeast at 10 to 15 knots with higher gusts for Grand Cayman and from the east to northeast 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts for the sister islands [Monday] morning, becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts for Grand Cayman and east to southeast 20 to 25 knots with higher gusts by evening,” it said.

Sea conditions in Grand Cayman are expected to be rough, with wave heights of 5 to 7 feet Monday evening, increasing to 10 to 15 feet or higher by midnight. Wave heights in the Sister Islands are expected to be 6 to 8 feet, increasing to 10 to 12 feet by midnight. All craft should remain in safe harbour until further notice.

Grand Cayman is expected to begin experiencing tropical storm winds 1am Tuesday morning.

The storm is moving toward the west-northwest at nearly 9 mph, and this general motion should continue for the next day or so. A faster northwestward motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday.

“On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to move away from Jamaica through this morning, move near or over the Cayman Islands later tonight, and approach the Isle of Youth and western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. The tropical
cyclone is forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday,” the NHC said.

Strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Delta is likely to be a hurricane when it moves near or over western Cuba on Tuesday.

Update: 4 Oct. 10:15pm: The National Hurricane Center in Miami has upgraded the weather system southeast of Jamaica to a tropical depression.

According to the latest NHC advisory Sunday night the weather system is forecast to strengthen over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

Cayman is currently under a tropical storm warning as the system is expected to pass tomorrow into Tuesday.

The tropical depression is about 75 miles south-southwest of Kingston, Jamaica and about 300 miles east southeast of Grand Cayman.

It has registered maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is on a west-northwest movement.

While Cayman remains under a tropical storm warning, the NHC has issued a hurricane watch for Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio and Artemisa and the Isle of Youth.

The system is forecast to be a tropical storm when it nears the Cayman Islands on
Monday, and a hurricane when it moves near or over western Cuba on
Tuesday.

“The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion should continue for the next day or so. A faster northwestward motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday,” the NHC said in its 11pm advisory.

On the forecast track, the NHC said, the centre of the depression is expected to pass just south of Jamaica through early Monday, move near or over the Cayman Islands Monday night, and approach the Isle of Youth and western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. The system is forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday.

Update: 4 Oct. 8:10pm: Forecasters are now projecting potential tropical cyclone 26 to
to become a tropical depression or storm Sunday night or early Monday as conditions remain conducive for development.

“On the forecast track, the center of the disturbance is expected to pass just south of Jamaica tonight and early Monday, move near or over the Cayman Islands Monday night, and approach the Isle of Youth and western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. The system is forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday,” the US National Hurricane Center said.

Cayman is currently under a tropical storm warning.

All public schools will be closed Monday and Tuesday.

According to Government Information Services, weather on Grand Cayman is expected to begin deteriorating from around 1pm on Monday, with the onset of tropical storm conditions at 10pm.

“Areas most likely to feel the brunt of the storm are the east and north sides of the islands. Conditions are expected to dissipate around 9 a.m. but heavy rain expected through Tuesday evening with 3-5 inches of rainfall expected. Sea heights are expected to reach 18-25 feet, with wave action impacting coastal areas, although there is no forecast storm surge,” GIS said in a statement.

The NHC, in its 8pm advisory, said the system is moving west-northwest near 10 miles per hour, and this general motion should continue for the next day or so. A faster northwestward motion is expected on Tuesday.

“Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next few days and the system is forecast to be a tropical storm when it nears the Cayman Islands on Monday, and a hurricane when it moves near or over western Cuba on Tuesday,” the NHC said.

Deputy Governor and chairman of the National Hazard Management Council Franz Manderson, convened a meeting of the council Sunday evening to obtain the latest information surrounding the severe weather system that is approaching Cayman.

“We expect the weather around the Cayman islands to begin to deteriorate early tomorrow afternoon with the Cayman Islands experiencing tropical storm conditions late tomorrow evening, continuing until Tuesday morning. We’re expecting 3 to 5 inches of rain and very high seas, so we’re asking everyone to take this weather condition seriously,” Manderson said in an audio note Sunday night.

GIS said civil servants who are able to work remotely are advised to do so on Monday.

A decision is expected to be taken on the closure of government offices around mid-day tomorrow. All private-sector businesses whose staff are able to work remotely are encouraged to do the same, GIS said.

The Port Authority had advised vessels to seek safe harbour in the North Sound from Friday evening and the NHMC has advised boat owners to have their vessels either on land or securely moored no later than 10am Monday.

The Red Cross shelter on Huldah Avenue is on stand-by in the event of flooding and the Needs Assessment Unit will be closed on Tuesday.

GIS said people isolating at home who may need shelter will be moved to government quarantine facilities.

The Port Authority will open the cargo warehouse on Monday morning but close at noon to finalise its preparedness measures.

Meanwhile all government events on Monday and Tuesday (5 and 6 Oct.) are cancelled, including Older Persons Month activities.

Original story: 

Cayman has been placed under a tropical storm warning as a yet-to-be-named storm continues to develop south-southeast of eastern Jamaica.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami issued its advisory Sunday evening on potential tropical cyclone 26 saying the Cayman Islands government has issued a tropical storm warning for Grand Cayman, Little Cayman and Cayman Brac.

The government has also announced that all public schools will be closed Monday and Tuesday.

A meeting of the National Hazard Management Council has been called for 5pm today, after which additional information on the potential storm and its impact will be shared.

The weather system is located 350 miles east-southeast of Grand Cayman and 90 miles south of Kingston, and is moving west-northwest at 10 miles per hour.

“Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is expected during the next 2 to 3 days and the system is forecast to be a tropical storm when it nears Cayman, and a hurricane when it moves near or over western Cuba,” the NHC advisory said.

Conditions are conducive for development and the system is forecast to become a tropical depression or storm tonight or early Monday.

“Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands beginning late Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area by Tuesday afternoon, with tropical storm conditions possible by early Tuesday. Tropical Storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba by early Tuesday,” the NHC added.

A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. The next name on the list of storms is Delta.

A tropical storm warning has been issued for the Cayman Islands as a yet-to-be-named system is set to affect the area tomorrow into Tuesday. – Image: National Hurricane Center

“On the forecast track, the center of the disturbance is expected to pass near or just southwest of Jamaica tonight and early Monday, move near or over the Cayman Islands Monday night, and approach the Isle of Youth and western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. The system is forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night or early Wednesday,” the NHC said.

A tropical storm watch has been issued for the Cuban province of La Habana.

The NHC said a dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast of the Isle of Youth and along the south coast of western Cuba near and to the right of where the centre makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

“Through midweek, this system has the potential to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across Jamaica, southern Haiti, and western Cuba. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Over the Cayman Islands, 2 to 4 inches of rainfall will be possible with this system,” it added.

The government of Cuba has issued a hurricane watch for the Isle of Youth and the Cuba provinces of Pinar del Rio and Artemisa.

The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph. A west-northwestward to northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected over the next few days.

Earlier Sunday the NHC stated that circulation of the tropical disturbance less than 100 miles south-southeast of eastern Jamaica is gradually becoming better defined.

“Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be possible across portions of Hispaniola, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Cuba during the next few days. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash floods and mudslides,” the NHC said in its earlier advisory.

The NHC has given the wave an 80% chance of formation through the next 48 hours and an 80% chance of formation over the next five days.

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